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Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this season while at home.Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should increase possessions for the Celtics.Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 98th percentile for drawing fouls, logging a whopping 6.9 foul shots per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jaylen Brown has missed 11.2 shot attempts from the field per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 rate last season.The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.
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