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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/4/2024

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has converted 42.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 10.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

The Pistons have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when guarding opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (14th percentile).

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