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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.3 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 17.9 mark last year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.6 treys per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 36.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

In terms of scoring, the Celtics's exceptional 120.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.7 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 4.5 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.6%).

The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 7thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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