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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2024

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 95th percentile for shots from the field made while at home, posting a colossal 8.9 per game since the start of last season.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 33.6 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest field goal percentage in the league this year (55.3%).

The Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk 12.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.5% less than he's made from downtown overall this year.

The 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 3rdworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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