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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2024

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 9.0 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile.

The Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.7 fouls per game since the start of last season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA since the start of last season.

The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Knicks).

As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging a mere 20.0 free throws per game.

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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