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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/17/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 86th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing at home, putting up 5.7 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Jaylen Brown ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted a mere 17.9 shots per game this season, significantly less than his 20.1 rate last season.

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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