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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has posted 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's posted in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 47.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.8% more than he's made from downtown overall this year away from home.

Jaylen Brown has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

The Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the least threes per game in the league this year (0.8).

The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Celtics's lackluster 18.3 free throw attempts per game as the away team comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Jaylen Brown should suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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