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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 86th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while at home, compiling 5.7 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 91st percentile for drawing fouls, posting a colossal 4.6 foul shot attempts per game on his home court this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 9thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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