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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 5.8 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.5 minutes per game this year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 91st percentile for getting to the foul line, putting up a massive 4.3 free throws per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).

The most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team, averaging a lowly 13.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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