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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.2 shots per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics.

When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Celtics's unimpressive 16.2 free throw attempts per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Jaylen Brown will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces player production for all stats.

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