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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.6 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 89th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 5.9 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a mere 16.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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