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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 96th percentile for shots from the field hit, logging a monstrous 8.9 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has converted 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year playing at home.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 32.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 16.4 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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