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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.1 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Jaylen Brown has made 2.2 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

As a team, the Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 10 games, averaging a mere 14.9 free throws per game.

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