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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2024

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.4 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The matchup against New York is a positive one for threes; when the Knicks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (48.0%).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.

The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying a mere 13.2 foul shot attempts per game.

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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