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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2024

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 27.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's compiled over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year on his home court.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%).

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 5 games playing at home, totaling a measly 15.4 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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