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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 28.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 5.9 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to more opportunities for the Celtics.
  • The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a hard matchup.
  • The least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
  • Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
  • Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

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