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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has made 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
  • Jaylen Brown has converted 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
  • Jaylen Brown has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
  • This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, resulting in a good matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
  • Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
  • Jaylen Brown will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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