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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has put up 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's put up overall this year.

Jaylen Brown has made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 8.4 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 17.3 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

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