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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has made 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

In terms of scoring, the Boston Celtics's outstanding 122.9 points per game ranks strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted a lowly 5.7 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.9 rate last season.

Jaylen Brown has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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