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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 33.1 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

With respect to offense, the Celtics's excellent 123.2 points per game settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown figures to see a spike in production for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 20.1 rate, Jaylen Brown's field goal attempts have dropped this season to 17.3 per game.

In contrast to last year's 6.9 mark, Jaylen Brown's shot attempts from beyond the arc have diminished this year to 5.7 per game.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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