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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2024

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season away from his home court.

Jaylen Brown has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 17 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have snagged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has converted a measly 8.5 baskets per game this season, significantly less than his 9.9 mark last season.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, creating a tough matchup.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

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