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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game at home this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 12thbest in in the NBA at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.

The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has converted just 8.6 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly lower than his 9.9 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 15.1 points per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hawks, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

While playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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