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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown slots into the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 6.0 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year.

The Boston Celtics will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted a mere 17.7 field goals per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 20.1 rate last year.

The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a tough one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).

The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.

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