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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has successfully made 10.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.
  • Jaylen Brown has made 43.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
  • Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has shot 38.1% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup.
  • The Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
  • Jaylen Brown is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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