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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 treys per game away from home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year.
  • The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to offense, the Celtics's poor 45.0% field goal percentage when playing away from home rates 5th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
  • While at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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