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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has made 9.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this year on the road.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
  • The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
  • The Celtics check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown registers in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's subpar 44.1% field goal rate settles in as the 6th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup against Houston is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (24.8%).
  • The 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Celtics.
  • Jaylen Brown will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

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