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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.

The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for field goals; when the Spurs are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (54.7%).

The Celtics have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Boston Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

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