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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 96th percentile for shots made, compiling a monstrous 8.9 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against Houston is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Celtics have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.

While playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

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