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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.2 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has converted 46.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have posted 13.3 points per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a tough matchup for offensive production.

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.

Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Bucks are playing at home (6th-least in the league).

Jaylen Brown will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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