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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk 9.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown has played 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.6%).

The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 21.5 free throws per game.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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