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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has converted 50.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Boston Celtics are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a hard matchup.

The 8th-slowest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (continuing possessions that can create added chances for offense).

Jaylen Brown will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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