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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 95th percentile for shots hit, totaling a massive 8.8 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.1 3-pointers per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a good one; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (23.9).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 8 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

As a team, the Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games while at home, tallying a measly 20.5 free throws per game.

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