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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. Detroit is a good one for threes; when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (45.0%).

The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.3 free throws per game.

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 31.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

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