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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.3 shots per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while on his home court, logging 6.0 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year.
  • The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Magic are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 11th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (42.2%).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
  • Relative to last year's 4.8 mark, Jaylen Brown's number of free throw attempts has declined this year to 3.5 free throw attempts per game.

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