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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 9.9 mark, Jaylen Brown's field goals scored have increased this year to 9.4 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's fantastic 123.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.

The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 7.1 rate, Jaylen Brown's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 6.1 per game.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (41.1%).

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has attempted a measly 3.6 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 4.8 mark last season.

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