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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 9.9 rate, Jaylen Brown's shots from the field hit have decreased this season to 8.6 per game.

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown measures in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 6.2 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.0).

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Jaylen Brown has attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.8 rate last year.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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