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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Jaylen Brown has played a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 35.9 minutes per game last year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have given up the 21st-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (15.8).

The Boston Celtics are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has converted a measly 8.6 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 9.9 rate last season.

Compared to last year's 3.1 clip, Jaylen Brown's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 3.5.

The Boston Celtics have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.

The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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