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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 6.7 clip, Jaylen Brown's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.6 per game.

Jaylen Brown has tallied a terrific 35.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 35.9 minutes per game last year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Toronto Raptors are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most threes per game in the NBA since the start of last season (2.1).

This year, their opposition has grabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has made a lowly 8.5 buckets per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 9.9 mark last year.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (78th percentile).

The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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