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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 98th percentile for shots taken while at home, posting 20.0 per game since the start of last season.
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.9 three-pointers per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's fantastic 117.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 39.4% on threes (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a positive matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
  • The Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 11.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can bring about added chances for offense).
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Timberwolves are at home (11th-least in the NBA).
  • Jaylen Brown will likely see a decline in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

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