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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made a whopping 9.9 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.6 mark last year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.9 threes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have grabbed 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 2.7 clip, Jaylen Brown's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.1.

The matchup against New York is a hard one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (28.8%).

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Knicks).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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