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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk a terrific 9.9 baskets per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.6 rate last year.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.

The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are at home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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