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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk an impressive 9.9 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.6 rate last year.

Jaylen Brown has made 40.8% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year while at home.

Jaylen Brown has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (17.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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