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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown has converted 44.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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