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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.2 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 18.2 rate last year.
  • Jaylen Brown has made 50.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.7% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
  • Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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