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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.3 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 18.2 mark last year.

Jaylen Brown has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Philadelphia is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the 76ers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (31.9%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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