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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.4 shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 18.2 rate last season.
  • Jaylen Brown has made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
  • Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one for field goals; when the 76ers are at home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 26th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (47.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
  • The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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