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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has sunk 51.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
  • Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
  • The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one for threes; when the 76ers are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 12th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (32.3%).
  • The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown has successfully made 50.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, -25.8% lower than he's converted overall this year.

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