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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has sunk a terrific 10.1 buckets per game this year, significantly more than his 8.6 rate last year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.6).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.

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