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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.5 shots from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 18.2 rate last year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a good one for threes; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (40.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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