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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has sunk 11.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season.
  • Jaylen Brown has successfully made 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against Washington is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Wizards have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Wizards have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Wizards is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the NBA).
  • Jaylen Brown will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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